Issuepedia:Prediction Registry

A lot of people make predictions about the future, but some people seem to predict more accurately than others. Those who have a good past record should probably be listened to carefully when they make further predictions for the future, while those whose reliability has been less than good may be largely ignored (or, at least, we need only consider arguments from such people seriously where those arguments stand on their own merit).

Until now, however, there has apparently been no serious attempt made to keep track of various predictions – who made them, and how they came out – and thus build up a record indicating to whom we should be listening and whom we may disregard. This page attempts to provide a registry for predictions so that a record may be built up.

Rules

This article is currently lacking one or more significant sections; these sections may need further research or thought and are expected to be completed later as time permits.

(Until then, please feel free to make notes on past or present predictions, and I'll get them organized later, unless someone else wants to take on that task. W.)