Difference between revisions of "Issuepedia:Prediction Registry"

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A lot of people make predictions about the future, but some people seem to predict more accurately than others. Those who have a good past record should probably be listened to carefully when they make further predictions for the future, while those whose reliability has been less than good may be largely ignored (or, at least, we need only consider arguments from such people seriously where those arguments stand on their own merit).
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The [[Prediction Registry]] is a central repository for tracking data regarding predictions and the people who made them. ''(The reasons why this is useful seem intuitively obvious to me, but at the moment I'm having a hard time explaining it succinctly in a way that doesn't sound hopelessly academic. Will try again later. --[[User:Woozle|Woozle]] 13:28, 1 Nov 2005 (CST))''
  
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Until now, however, there has apparently been no serious attempt made to keep track of various predictions – who made them, and how they came out – and thus build up a record indicating to whom we should be listening and whom we may disregard. This page attempts to provide a registry for predictions so that a record may be built up.
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Please read [[About the Prediction Registry]] for details on the purpose and rules of the Prediction Registry.
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==Predictions==
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==Rules==
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===To Be Investigated===
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{{incomplete}} (Until then, please feel free to make notes on past or present predictions, and I'll get them organized later, unless someone else wants to take on that task. [[User:Woozle|W.]])
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The following predictions and sources have been entered without checking the source material.
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* David Brin (see [http://davidbrin.blogspot.com/2005/10/pause-am-i-good-predictor.html]; prediction sources listed at [http://www.locusmag.com/index/s98.html])
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** Earth (novel)
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*** Subvocal user-computer interface, which NASA reports inventing in 2003.
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*** Predictions Registry
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*** EMILYPOST viral politeness programs that target rude internet users.
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*** Information sieves - programs that sift the Net for content according to your tastes and priorities, learning as they go. They can either enhance productivity or be used to exclude all incoming information that might disagree with your favorite illusions. (Sound like Rush dittoheads?)
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**** ...accompanied by Illusion-breaker programs that pierce these sieves and force Net users to perceive news or opinions outside their tailor-made perception range.
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*** GAZER or gravity laser uses singularity "mirrors" to tap the higher energy levels within the Earth and emit tuned, focused, coherent graviton beams.** [[Wikipedia:Uplift Universe|Uplift Series]] (series/universe):
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*** Uplift genetic engineering of animals (um....)
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** Sundiver (novel set in [[Wikipedia:Uplift Universe|Uplift Universe]]):
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*** Personality profiling which is now a hot topic using PET scanning... though no one is using yet the inherently superior method of eye-tracking.
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*** Waldo Whale lets a human swim like a dolphin or orca.
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** Startide Rising (novel set in [[Wikipedia:Uplift Universe|Uplift Universe]]):
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*** Waldo walker and tools – allows dolphins to move and work outside of water.
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** Uplift war (novel set in [[Wikipedia:Uplift Universe|Uplift Universe]]):
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*** Hostage Gas forces a population to voluntarily go to internment camps in order to get antidotes to a toxin.
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** Brightness Reef (novel set in [[Wikipedia:Uplift Universe|Uplift Universe]]):
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*** WOM or Write Only Memory – a recording device that is required to be carried on all ships or cars, that cannot be read until the owner releases the information, or for an extended time.
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** NatuLife™ (novel)
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*** Needle-Gym - A simulation-exercise room with needle floor. A million needles on the bottom of a tiny, closet-size "exercise room" rise and fall to simulate any ground or surface, from a street to forest trail, acting also like a treadmill, so that you can run and feel under your feet any surface that the computer shows you in your simulation goggles.
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** Tank-Farm Dynamo, (short story) ''Analog'', Nov 1983 (at least, I thinik this is what "Tank Farm" refers to):
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*** Tether space station. A station in two parts, separated by a 100 mile tether, will orbit the Earth in a way that aligns along a radius, deriving "gravity gradient" forces that let liquids settle and provides a sense of up and down.
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** Dr. Pak's Preschool (novel)
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*** A Womb with a View. Intra-utero teaching unit. Installed to help a fetus learn before birth and get a leg-up on other pre-pre preschoolers.
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** Piecework (novel)
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*** Fabricows - cattle and other creatures that create gene-designed biomachinery in their wombs. Also complex synthetic chemicals instead of milk. Poor women might also do this, creating super-advanced organic entities the old fashioned way.

Revision as of 19:28, 1 November 2005

The Prediction Registry is a central repository for tracking data regarding predictions and the people who made them. (The reasons why this is useful seem intuitively obvious to me, but at the moment I'm having a hard time explaining it succinctly in a way that doesn't sound hopelessly academic. Will try again later. --Woozle 13:28, 1 Nov 2005 (CST))

Please read About the Prediction Registry for details on the purpose and rules of the Prediction Registry.

Predictions

To Be Investigated

The following predictions and sources have been entered without checking the source material.

  • David Brin (see [1]; prediction sources listed at [2])
    • Earth (novel)
      • Subvocal user-computer interface, which NASA reports inventing in 2003.
      • Predictions Registry
      • EMILYPOST viral politeness programs that target rude internet users.
      • Information sieves - programs that sift the Net for content according to your tastes and priorities, learning as they go. They can either enhance productivity or be used to exclude all incoming information that might disagree with your favorite illusions. (Sound like Rush dittoheads?)
        • ...accompanied by Illusion-breaker programs that pierce these sieves and force Net users to perceive news or opinions outside their tailor-made perception range.
      • GAZER or gravity laser uses singularity "mirrors" to tap the higher energy levels within the Earth and emit tuned, focused, coherent graviton beams.** Uplift Series (series/universe):
      • Uplift genetic engineering of animals (um....)
    • Sundiver (novel set in Uplift Universe):
      • Personality profiling which is now a hot topic using PET scanning... though no one is using yet the inherently superior method of eye-tracking.
      • Waldo Whale lets a human swim like a dolphin or orca.
    • Startide Rising (novel set in Uplift Universe):
      • Waldo walker and tools – allows dolphins to move and work outside of water.
    • Uplift war (novel set in Uplift Universe):
      • Hostage Gas forces a population to voluntarily go to internment camps in order to get antidotes to a toxin.
    • Brightness Reef (novel set in Uplift Universe):
      • WOM or Write Only Memory – a recording device that is required to be carried on all ships or cars, that cannot be read until the owner releases the information, or for an extended time.
    • NatuLife™ (novel)
      • Needle-Gym - A simulation-exercise room with needle floor. A million needles on the bottom of a tiny, closet-size "exercise room" rise and fall to simulate any ground or surface, from a street to forest trail, acting also like a treadmill, so that you can run and feel under your feet any surface that the computer shows you in your simulation goggles.
    • Tank-Farm Dynamo, (short story) Analog, Nov 1983 (at least, I thinik this is what "Tank Farm" refers to):
      • Tether space station. A station in two parts, separated by a 100 mile tether, will orbit the Earth in a way that aligns along a radius, deriving "gravity gradient" forces that let liquids settle and provides a sense of up and down.
    • Dr. Pak's Preschool (novel)
      • A Womb with a View. Intra-utero teaching unit. Installed to help a fetus learn before birth and get a leg-up on other pre-pre preschoolers.
    • Piecework (novel)
      • Fabricows - cattle and other creatures that create gene-designed biomachinery in their wombs. Also complex synthetic chemicals instead of milk. Poor women might also do this, creating super-advanced organic entities the old fashioned way.
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