Issuepedia:Prediction Registry

Incredible site!

Singularity Timetable

• Singularity Timetable predicts a Technological Singularity to happen in 2012:
• 2006 -- True AI
• 2007 -- AI Landrush
• 2009 -- Human-Level AI
• 2011 -- Cybernetic Economy
• 2012 -- Superintelligent AI
• 2012 -- Joint Stewardship of Earth
• 2012 -- Technological Singularity

Links

• Wrong Tomorrow "time vs. pundits": a pundit-oriented prediction registry
• InTrade: a prediction marketplace
• Wikipedia: Prediction market
• The Foresight Exchange Prediction Market: "Sign up free and bet your reputation on the future!"
• Poolitics: place bets on political events
• Best and Worst Punditry of 2005: some short-term technological predictions reviewed
• 2008-05-07 Things That Will Never Happen: a collection of profoundly wrong predictions (I think I remember Jerry Pournelle writing about many of these in the 1970s and 80s -W.)
• 2006-12-14 Tech lessons learned from the wisdom of crowds
• 2006-03-15 Remembering the Iraq War's Pollyanna pundits
• 1999-03-05 US Patent #6260019: Web-based prediction marketplace by Thomas Craig Courts